Biden threatens Russia with sanctions if Ukraine invades

The American line towards Russia had already been drawn, however President Biden consulted with his allies in the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Italy before warning Putin that an eventual invasion of Ukraine would provoke a very hard retaliation in the against Russia, with very significant economic consequences determined by a plan of sanctions coordinated by Western countries. The issue brings back to the center the activity of the Atlantic Alliance the area of ​​Eastern Europe, due to Russian activism increasingly marked by a nationalism that is not willing to tolerate the invasion of its own vital space. The approach of Kiev, both to the European Union and to the Atlantic Alliance, is perceived as a threat to Russian security, which considers the potential deployment of troops by the Atlantic Alliance on its borders as a real provocation. For Moscow it would be advisable for Ukraine to fall under its own influence or, on a secondary basis, for the Ukrainian country to maintain at least some sort of neutrality; both solutions cannot be congenial to Kiev precisely because of Russia’s previous behaviors: intrusion of internal affairs, invasion of Crimea and the Donbass conflict, the latter conducted from Moscow by subtle means, without ever exposing themselves directly. For Kiev, the only way to protect itself is to seek protection from the US and Europe, a protection which, however, cannot be too explicit, such as admission to the Atlantic Alliance or the European Union, in order not to trigger an open conflict between Washington. , Brussels and Moscow. The US cannot commit itself too directly because it considers the open front with China, which has now become central to US foreign policy, a priority, precisely to the detriment of the European one, however Russian activism can no longer be tolerated because it could question the current arrangements in Eastern Europe. From a military point of view, for now the US does not intend to add personnel to the soldiers already present in Poland, but has ensured material support in the event of Russian aggression. According to the data of the American secret services, Putin’s intention would be to deploy about 175,000 Russian soldiers on the Ukrainian border, who could start the invasion of the Ukrainian country at the beginning of 2022, even if this hypothesis is considered only potential and could represent a functional threat to obtain other advantages, even if not directly connected with the Ukrainian question. The disagreement between Biden and Putin is not a recent thing, even if during the invasion of Crimea, with Obama as president and Biden as deputy, the US did not resist, the Kremlin’s behavior was certainly not welcome, also because the policy of Ukraine’s opposition to the West continued by fomenting the separatist demands of the Ukrainian population of Russian origin, with undeclared military actions. Putin and Russia then took an IT-type action, discrediting Clinton, to favor the election of Trump in 2016, considered more functional to Russian interests on an international level. Biden also believes that Putin has practiced murder as the instigator of poisoning opponents and for the repression of dissent, so much so that he avoided inviting him to the great summit of democracies, like China, Egypt, Turkey, Hungary, Cuba, Venezuela, El Salvador and Guatemala. The relations between the two leaders, therefore, are very tense, but they are also obliged, not only for Ukraine, but also for the Iranian nuclear problem, for terrorism and for the cyber crimes themselves, which have become an international threat . The recent conference call, although it took place in a cordial manner, did not bring about any rapprochement between the two positions: the USA confirmed the threats of harsh sanctions in the event of an invasion of Ukraine, Russia accused the United States of pursuing a policy of progressive annexation of Kiev through the action of the Atlantic Alliance. Washignton maintained his position on Ukraine’s freedom of choice to freely join the Atlantic Alliance, an issue that could be crucial to avoiding invasion, given that Putin will likely be vetoed in the near future. averting military escalation.