China is a collateral victim of the Ukrainian conflict

The aggression of Putin’s new “Soviet Union” against Ukraine, which has violated every rule of international law, has caused a sense of confusion for Beijing, whose main concern remains its own economic growth, which, however, does not it can be released from a state of global stability. The first result of the Kremlin was that of compacting the western front and even more the European Union, which is finding, despite many difficulties, an almost unknown unity of purpose and certainly not predictable in such a relatively short time. This figure is the opposite of what has always been pursued by the Russians, by the Chinese themselves and also by the USA, at least those led by Trump. For all these subjects it was a priority to work to obtain an ever deeper division between the European states in order to deal with individual nations rather than with the whole bloc of the Union. For this purpose, these international actors, who feared a new subject of large proportions on the global scene with their own political and even military and not only economic capabilities, have repeatedly implemented operations, including illegal ones such as illicit computer activities, financing for parties and movements. local sovereigns and an intense diplomatic policy aimed at exploiting the divisions of the states of the Union. The criminal invasion of Ukraine apparently overcame any attempt at division that was painstakingly pursued, ending up damaging the Chinese, as well as the Russians, who, from now on, will have to adapt to the new situation. Beijing, while affirming its loyalty to Moscow and denouncing, albeit alternately, the guilt of the Atlantic Alliance, said it was very concerned about the war situation and announced its willingness to provide a contribution to resolving the crisis. The greatest concern expressed appears to be that of the economic sanctions against Russia, which constitutes an aggravating circumstance to the pandemic situation, for the global economic recovery. It should also be remembered that China was, before the start of the conflict, Kiev’s main trading partner, and would not like to lose this primacy, especially if Ukraine, once the conflict was over, gravitated to the orbit of Brussels. Chinese diplomats strive with a kind of equidistance, which asserts that the integrity of each country should be protected, as well as the security concerns of each nation: this attitude provides the perception of a policy taken aback and still undecided about which attitude definitely take. The proximity to Russia should not be taken for granted, because the distance is too great and the respective interests do not coincide, but it is only functional against the United States and, to a lesser extent, Europe. Beijing cannot, precisely in order not to compromise its economic growth plans, initiate new conflicts with Washington, which could affect trade relations with the USA, just as it cannot go against Europe, which represents the richest market to get to. its own products. Probably from a political point of view, Putin’s action does not displease the Chinese, because, despite the denials, they can read similarities with Taiwan, but at the moment even this question seems to take second place compared to the failure to restart the global economy. A further concern for China is the ability expressed by Europe to develop strategies to make up for Russian energy supplies in the not too distant future and the newfound harmony with the USA, which may constitute a starting point for closer trade alliances, which they would determine a lesser capacity for Chinese commercial movement towards what are the richest markets on the planet. It is not known whether in the meeting between Putin and Xi Jingping on the occasion of the inauguration of the recent Winter Olympics, the Russian leader had informed the Chinese one, but it is certain that the Chinese resentment is high due to the developments that the war has caused, even if cannot be expressed. China’s studies and plans have been thwarted by a crazy decision that is determining a difficult commercial future for China and, however, for this reason it can be thought that Beijing will not neglect every effort to stop a conflict, which sees it as the greatest victim. collateral.