Migrations as an impact factor on geopolitical equilibrium and as a European dynamic

One of the effects of the pandemic, closely related to the increase in poverty, is the increase in the migration of people in irregular ways to Europe; the latest data indicate worrying numerical levels and such as to make management of the phenomenon increasingly difficult. Furthermore, these data indicate that the trend of migratory pressure can only be increasing in the future, both near and in the medium and long term, precisely due to the imbalances of inequality generated by the pandemic, which join the previous reasons for migration: conflicts, famines and atmospheric phenomena caused by global warming. These causes are well known by analysts and politicians, but in the European Union an almost passive attitude remains, characterized by the absence of a common vision, due to the lack of effective tools on the part of Brussels and conflicting interests and political approaches, which, in fact, prevent a unitary and resolutive approach to the problem. 2021 marked an increase of about 57% in arrivals, compared to the previous year, marked by the onset of the pandemic, but the effects of the covid have caused a greater concentration of wealth to the detriment of poor countries and is one of the causes of the increase in extreme poverty of over 800 million people, which generate ever greater needs to seek alternatives to their own state of poverty. Also contributing to migration is the use of pressure on the European Union precisely through the use of migration routes as a factor of blackmail to Western countries and as a tool to increase the division of disputes between the members of Brussels. Lastly, it was the Belarusian dictator who used these methods, referring to what has already been done by the Libyans and Egyptians, among others. The impression is that this political use exploits the quantity of migrations by directing them, but does not affect the overall number as much as the use of migration routes rather than others; however, it is an insurgency that at the political level should stimulate greater unity among European members and instead has the opposite effect. This is an element that should not be underestimated so that Europe does not become a passive victim of instruments that are real sanctions of an asymmetrical type, against which the feeling of national identity of sovereignists or the conduct of Eastern European countries, in the long run , they can do little, precisely because they compromise the coexistence of the members of the Union. Certainly the fact of using human beings in great difficulty raises questions about how to maintain relationships with those who use these tools, but also with those who refuse humanitarian aid that seems undeniable and urgent. This, therefore, highlights the increasingly urgent need to create protected paths for refugees and conditions and rules that can favor regular migration, both for humanitarian and practical reasons, that is to govern the phenomenon without suffering the consequences and blackmail; in this way the exploitation by dictatorships and human traffickers can be defused. To reach this determination it is necessary to build a shared project or act on the unanimity rule that has conditioned the decisions of the Union for too long, also because practical reasons are increasingly urgent to combat the progressive aging of the population and the consequent lack of manpower. necessary for European industries. Taking note of this need by harmonizing it from the legal point of view to ensure legality and security for European citizens could be a good reason to convince the most skeptical and more inclined movements to adopt an attitude of closure. Beyond the obvious humanitarian reasons, autonomously regulating the migration phenomenon by the Union would only have advantages for Brussels and could contribute to the European awareness of great power, necessary to exercise the leading role that the Union must play on the global stage, such as independent subject, but also as a point of balance between competitors increasingly capable of endangering world peace. Migration phenomena are much more than humanitarian emergencies, and this reason alone would be enough to try to solve them, but they have become a geopolitical tool and are intimately connected with general issues such as the necessary reduction of inequalities and the fight against climate change. Therefore, addressing this issue individually is an urgency to be dealt with only in the short term, but in the medium and long term a global project is needed, also to prevent the depopulation and further impoverishment of entire nations and in this only Europe is able to being the protagonist, also because it is the only one.

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