The US will defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack

In the Taiwan issue, the level of confrontation rises dangerously, after the US president has expressly declared that the US military will directly engage in the defense of the island if China intends to exercise a military option to bring Taiwan back under its rule. Biden has equated the official commitment to the defense of the countries that make up the Atlantic Alliance, also extending it to Japan, South Korea and, in fact, Taiwan. The White House tenant’s intention is clear: to act as a barrier against Chinese ambitions in the region; the declaration, however, did not imply the only military option, in fact, Biden spoke of opposing the Chinese reunification project, first of all through diplomatic solutions, but, in the event of failure of this solution, there would be no alternative to a commitment direct military. In reality, this commitment has already begun with the sending of military instructors, who have the task of training the armed forces of Taiwan to face a possible invasion of Beijing; but the further step of officially declaring the possibility of direct US military involvement in Taiwan’s defense means a clear political warning directed at China. Moreover, this development represents the logical consequence of a US policy towards Taiwan, which has always involved military supplies, despite a lack of official recognition which has been remedied by sending diplomatic representations disguised as commercial representatives; moreover, the centrality of the area in American foreign policy has already materialized with Obama, to the detriment of that of Europe and the Middle East, this trend has continued with Trump, while with Biden it is even accentuated. The garrison of marine trade routes and American regional supremacy has become paramount, especially since China has increased its military capacity and deployed its economic power, factors that have determined the American need to carry out a containment of Beijing with all the means available. Biden’s statement also raises questions about the real reasons for the sudden withdrawal from Afghanistan: need to fulfill the promises of the electoral program or need to have the US military to be deployed in other theaters of war? The issue is not secondary, because precisely the disengagement from the Afghan country, let us remember not agreed with the allies, allows the great availability of military personnel to be deployed in Taiwan. If this possibility is true, Biden’s plan for Taiwan has already been underway and planned for some time. The position of China is always the same and is dictated by the consideration of not tolerating any interference in its internal policy and the intention to reunify the country, promising to follow, as in Hong Kong, the one country system of two systems. The lack of availability of Taiwan has not been taken well in Beijing, which has intensified the pressure on the island with the overflight of about one hundred and fifty military aircraft: an action that could potentially generate dangerous accidents and not only at the diplomatic level, it was probably it was this initiative that caused Biden’s public reaction. China warned not to accept compromises on the Taiwan issue and warned Washington not to send wrong signals in open conflict with the integrity of the Chinese territory and the sovereignty of the Beijing government, on which no compromises will be accepted and there is no room for negotiation. The Chinese government’s warning to the United States, for now, is not to compromise relations between the two countries with an openly hostile attitude. No rapid times are announced for the solution of the question and it is not even easy to make a forecast, given the immovability of the respective positions; the danger of a conflict, however, is concrete, with potential enormous repercussions on the commercial structures that would affect all the economies of the planet, even if only it were a diplomatic tightening between the two parties. After the pandemic, which has not yet been resolved, a possible blockade of marine trade routes could generate a new production block capable of stopping trade globally, if there were to be a conflict between the two major world powers, it would be necessary to review every prospect to avoid the total economic crisis.

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