European Union in difficulty with new migratory flows from Afghanistan

The European Union is alarmed by the possible consequences, especially at the internal level, of migrations from Afghanistan, which are expected to be very substantial in number. Potentially a very complicated situation is expected to manage: the immediate concern is the management of migratory flows, but the evolution of relations between European states, many of which have already stated that they have no intention of hosting, is considered to be much more worrying. refugees and indeed to operate rejections and repatriations. In the short term, the intention of Brussels is to strengthen the economic support to the nations that will be immediately involved in migratory movements, with the intention of favoring the permanence in those countries immediately involved, but this is obviously a solution that does not has a long-term vision; the aim is to take time to develop tactics and strategies capable of reconciling the needs of all European members, while neglecting, however, the principles of solidarity between states, at the basis of the very stay within the Union. The country with the largest number of Afghans on its territory is Germany, which has said it is unwilling to increase migrants from this country. At the moment the foreign ministers of European countries, with the exclusion of Hungary and Hungary, have signed a declaration, together with the USA, which should allow all Afghan citizens who intend to leave their country to do so, through borders of neighboring countries, but it is a declaration of principle, which does not provide for a material solution for the shelter and assistance of migrants fleeing the Taliban. A hypocritical position, even if the American responsibilities are evident: the behavior of Washington, in addition to abandoning Afghan civilians to the religious dictatorship of the Taliban, exposes the neighboring countries first and Europe later, to a significant migratory impact, which is the tragic he replies of what happened with Syria, when the sloth of the Obama administration allowed a tragic war, which spread to a large part of the Middle East. Europe risks a new suspension of the Schengen treaty and Biden should reflect a lot on this element, after what seemed to be a favorable attitude with his old allies. These considerations must take into account the issue within Europe, represented by the forthcoming German elections, which will decide the successor of Chancellor Merkel: in Berlin the debate on the choices of the Atlantic Alliance proved to be very critical with Washington and this could become a problem for Biden, which could worsen with the migration issue. As usual, Brussels follows Berlin and, albeit in a less harsh way, condemns the American action, supported by the data that the US withdrawal will produce: it is estimated that the 12 million of the Afghan population who already had difficulty in finding food under the old regime , will increase to 18 million inhabitants, with the Taliban in government. Thus, the migratory emergency will not only be political but also food and the relative short distance, 4,500 kilometers, which separates the Afghan country from Europe will turn into a new refugee route. In this scenario, the role of countries such as Iran and Pakistan becomes crucial in offering support to migrants and avoiding dangerous developments in relations within Europe. At the moment Iran hosts at least 3.5 million refugees and for this reason Brussels finances Tehran with about 15 million euros, if the Iranian role becomes even more important to reduce migratory pressure, as well as a necessary increase in funding. , it is not excluded that Tehran cannot also demand a revision of the sanctions, causing a collision between Europe and the USA: an argument that the White House should not underestimate. The Pakistani role is also important, hosting another 3 million refugees and has already received 20 million euros in 2020 and 7, so far, in 2021. The concomitance of inadequate United Nations funding requires Europe to raise funding to countries that allow them to alleviate their migratory pressure. Of course, a tactic solely set up in this way exposes Brussels to potential blackmail and the international weakness of the Union does not help to overcome this danger: one more reason to set up European politics in a different way, in order to become a political subject of the first magnitude, beyond the current purely economic role.