The confrontation between the West and China increases

The common fears of the members of the Atlantic Alliance towards China have produced a completely predictable response from Beijing. The Chinese tactic is to turn everything against the People’s Republic into defamation, only that the international stage is not the domestic one, where information is controlled and criticism repressed. Beijing denies implementing systemic challenges against international security, which is, by now, the official and common opinion of the West, or at least of Western governments, ignoring the influence it wants to exert on developing countries, through a credit policy that easily turn into very onerous debts, aggressive financial policies, non-compliance with civil rights and economic growth obtained with the absence of guarantees for workers, a very low cost of labor often obtained with methods that touch slavery. Denying this is obvious because we cannot present the world with these characteristics, but the very globalized world that the Chinese like is the main tool to unmask them. In the note from the Beijing diplomatic mission accredited to the European Union, the West is reproached for still being stuck in a cold war mentality, but this situation is the one created by China itself. Which pursues policies, especially internal, but also external, in complete contrast with Western values, and it is clear that if each party is legitimate to support its own reasons, it is legitimate for the West to see present-day China for itself, as a threat. Beijing has become one of the worst victims of Trump’s defeat: with the previous US president, the confrontation dialectic was at the highest level, but without too many consequences, moreover, Trump’s aversion for Europe had brought dialogue with the western allies; Biden’s attitude is quite different, as he turns out to be a much more formidable enemy for China, precisely because, in addition to maintaining his distrust of Chinese power, he was able to recompose the West towards traditional ties with the USA: a factor that gives it only weakens Beijing and isolates it from the richest markets in the world, an issue to which China is very sensitive because it is functional to those objectives of economic growth, which have long been at the center of Chinese objectives, also as an element of geopolitics. Beyond the battleground of the economy, which is by no means secondary, the unity of vision matured in the Western camp against Chinese authoritarianism, allows Western states to move away from China, towards which it was dangerously approached due to the worsening of relations caused by Trump. From the point of view of the consequences, the danger of a China isolated from the West is that of a further recourse to the expansion of armaments, a direction, moreover, already undertaken for some time, which however, with these latest developments, could induce Beijing to accelerate towards demonstrations of force as he has repeatedly threatened. Think of the garrison of the naval routes of those it considers waters of its relevance, of the issues of the disputed islands and of the most potentially dangerous event constituted by Taiwan, which Beijing has never formally renounced, considering it an integral part of the Chinese territory. Even further, it should be remembered that China has always claimed to want to defend its interests, if this concept is extended to the defense of the possibility of making investments considered strategic for its objectives, it will be interesting to see Beijing’s reaction in the face of a possible conflict. to Chinese activism in Western countries. The most likely reaction passes from a trade war, which is not convenient for anyone, because it can block or strongly compress the world economy, however the one that has the most to lose is precisely China, if the major world markets were foreclosed, in that case it seems easy to foresee the performance of a show of strength, with potentially irreparable consequences. Before reaching that point, however, there must be the work of diplomacy, with the threat of a possible return of Trump on the US scene, who will be the real balance for a whole series of situations capable of overturning the current structure and for which, probably, China, but also Russia will work in favor; therefore the success of the West, also as practical and abstract values, passes through the success of the current American president, who must make his project to strengthen relations with the West effective: a task capable of bringing history back on track from which she had come out.

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