Cyber attacks against Iran

The military confrontation between Iran and Israel and therefore the United States would continue, albeit not in the traditional way, but in the form of a cyber war. The latest incidents in the Islamic Republic seemed more like sabotage than fortuitous events. There are four serious events that have followed and raised the alarm level in Iran: explosions in gas deposits inside a military area of ​​the capital, an accident in a health facility, which resulted in 19 victims, due to the explosion of oxygen cylinders, a fire in a thermoelectric power station in the south-western area of ​​the country, preceded by a further fire in the assembly center of a nuclear centrifuge. If, in the first moments, the Iranian security apparatuses were leaning towards accidents, the latest developments could have changed the impressions of the investigators, leaving the causes of bad maintenance only the accident that occurred in the clinic. The Tehran government has chosen the path of caution and prudence, but some media outlets have already insinuated the possibility of Israeli-based cyber attacks. The precedents exist and are part of the development of the virus that damaged the Iranian nuclear program. Tehran is one of the signatories of the nuclear non-proliferation program, abandoned by Trump, and according to the International Atomic Energy Organization Iran is not close to the nuclear weapon, despite the decision to reactivate some centrifuges and to design new ones. following the American withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal signed with the European Union, China and Russia. There are mysterious details regarding the fire at the site hosting the centrifuge assembly workshops: in fact, some journalists would have been warned in advance that a dissident organization, perhaps composed of military personnel inside the Iranian security apparatuses, would have carried out an attack. The presence of such an organization within the Iranian armed forces, however, seems unlikely, precisely because of the level of control present in Iranian society and even more in its military structures. To use this ploy may have been foreign powers, not to hide from the Iranian country, but to hide from international public opinion and not suffer public condemnation. On the other hand, it is concretely possible that the Islamic Republic is trying to get to the atomic weapon, both to balance the unofficial alliance between Sunni and Israeli countries, and to have a concrete tool to exhibit within its policy of expansion as a power regional. The sabotage actions should then be framed in a sort of psychological pressure to reduce the possibility of the presence of a new nuclear power in the Middle East region, with this explanation we would understand a potential Israeli action as a further action in an exchange of hostility with Tehran that is going for some time. Similarly, the provocation to Iran could foster a response, which would allow Trump’s United States to act sensationally during the election period. In any case, these are not one-way actions, even two months earlier the Israelis accused Iran of sabotaging aqueducts, altered through the computer, in controlling flows and purification and purification systems. However, it is a conflict fought in a hidden way, to escape the adversaries and international blame, which remains highly dangerous for the negative developments it can cause, but against which it seems useless to appeal in favor of a sense of moderation and caution , which does not exist in the practice and objectives of some governments.